Top 5 predictions - Earth Empires Forum

blid

Member

EE Patron
9319

Feb 10th 2012, 23:10:13

first off, I'm goign to start with a different type of prediction. I'm going to predict a monster 100m nw club. in primary history, there have been the following # of 100m nw countries:

Round 1: 0
2: 0
3: 0
4: 0
5: 0
6: 1
7: 1
8: 2
9: 2
10: 4
11: 2
12: 4

This set, round 13, I am predicting... the entire top ten over 100m!

Okay, now lets make some top 5 picks

Originally posted by Mr. Titanium:

Watch your mouth boy, I have never been accused of cheating on any server nor deleted before you just did right there.

Serpentor

Member
2800

Feb 11th 2012, 0:57:31

I never get votes for top 5.

*cries*

111
93
81
69
127

The EEVIL Empire

blid

Member

EE Patron
9319

Feb 11th 2012, 1:21:28

Gonna go with
111 Veni
93 spaghetti
106 Waste of time
69 Laborghini
127 xkcd

Always vote commie! Can't vote for Autumn because even though he could finish great I don't see how he gets through the round. Sorry Serp but your land is just lower than those. Maybe I pick sixth for you.

Originally posted by Mr. Titanium:

Watch your mouth boy, I have never been accused of cheating on any server nor deleted before you just did right there.

blid

Member

EE Patron
9319

Feb 11th 2012, 1:23:10

I love comparing these republics, they're all literally the same country

3 Swords to Plowshares (#62) 42,675 $26,748,464 RG
7 Bohemian Grabsody (#203) 45,926 $24,576,221 RG
8 Herbs (#182) 44,264 $24,303,559 RG
9 Town of Cats (#46) 46,426 $23,932,475 RG
12 Animosity (#113) 45,020 $22,808,593 RG

And the only reason #62 has a little less land than the others is because he got nuked.

And for the record, I think all those reps, plus all those commies (including EEVIL) make 100m.

Originally posted by Mr. Titanium:

Watch your mouth boy, I have never been accused of cheating on any server nor deleted before you just did right there.

crest23

Member
4666

Feb 11th 2012, 1:31:34

111
106
69
81
127

The Nigerian Nightmare.

oldman

Member
877

Feb 11th 2012, 2:30:26

I think this set is a bit shorter than the last.

last set was Nov 2 - Jan 2. This set is Jan 3 - Mar 2. I think that's 2 days less than the previous set, 100 turns less, which is about 10M NW for most big countries at the end. So, the prediction of more 100M countries, may not hold true.

blid

Member

EE Patron
9319

Feb 11th 2012, 3:30:28

depends on what days these sets really end. Remember, last set ended at the end of Jan 1 and did not actually include Jan 2. I suspect this set may be one day shorter.

Originally posted by Mr. Titanium:

Watch your mouth boy, I have never been accused of cheating on any server nor deleted before you just did right there.

tduong

Member
2224

Feb 11th 2012, 6:18:21

wow, no love for me. But i am not even close to t10 lol.

Originally posted by blid:

I haven't had a wrong opinion in years

Xinhuan

Member
3728

Feb 11th 2012, 7:39:20

So far, all everyone did was sort by land, and pick the top 5 countries, or ignore JJ's country and pick the top 5 after that. That isn't really much of a prediction is it?

Regarding the length of reset and etc, there are currently more countries above 50k acres (9 of them) than the last 2 resets (6 and 7 respectively).

This means 2 things:
1. Military prices is probably going to be lower since there are many more larger commies.
2. Finishing NW might be lower because of (1), but could also be higher because people do have more land compared to last reset. So multiple countries finishing at 100m isn't far fetched.

Edited By: Xinhuan on Feb 11th 2012, 7:55:51
See Original Post

jedioda

Member
395

Feb 11th 2012, 10:45:36

depends also on food price
My country was forgotten for top 5

crest23

Member
4666

Feb 11th 2012, 12:59:43

I didn't even know you were playing. You think you will hit 100m?

The Nigerian Nightmare.

jedioda

Member
395

Feb 11th 2012, 13:07:47

Will be difficult but not impossible

blid

Member

EE Patron
9319

Feb 11th 2012, 13:39:08

Originally posted by Xinhuan:

I think there's a nice mix of large indies and cashers, they feed each other well. And that is how I picked the top 5 but I think it's accurate. :)

Originally posted by Mr. Titanium:

Watch your mouth boy, I have never been accused of cheating on any server nor deleted before you just did right there.

tduong

Member
2224

Feb 11th 2012, 15:33:59

well, they're stockpiling so they don't really feed each other anymore. More like farmers feeding everyone

Originally posted by blid:

I haven't had a wrong opinion in years

Xinhuan

Member
3728

Feb 11th 2012, 16:20:18

None of the CIs have stopped grabbing yet, tduong.

crest23

Member
4666

Feb 11th 2012, 16:31:08

He's a noob.

The Nigerian Nightmare.

herbs12

Member
694

Feb 11th 2012, 18:22:25

Grabbing is getting close to an end for most here within the next 3-7 days. There is a lot more land in the top 20 then I've seen previously, I'm looking forward to seeing how it all plays out.

tduong

Member
2224

Feb 11th 2012, 23:49:50

hmm...i think I will only be in t10 at most. Things didn't work out like i imagined lol. Hopefully 60-70mil net is enough :(

Originally posted by blid:

I haven't had a wrong opinion in years

Nuketon

Member
549

Feb 12th 2012, 4:12:59

hoping for a strong finish myself, tech is still fairly decent and I have more stocked at this time than I did at this time last reset... think I should hit 80m give or take.

tduong

Member
2224

Feb 12th 2012, 6:42:00

you got me beat. I just want to get real fat lol

Originally posted by blid:

I haven't had a wrong opinion in years

herbs12

Member
694

Feb 12th 2012, 16:53:18

111 Veni. (130-135m)
93 spaghetti(126-131m)
81 Autumn ( 120-125m)
69 Lamborghini ( 119-124m)
127 xkcd ( 117-122m)
40 Eevil (112-117m)
106 waste of time (105-110m)
88 sexy ( 104-109m)
179 happy new year (103-108m)
203 bohemian (103-108)
46 cats (101-106m)
182 herbs (98-103m)
62 swords (96-101m)
113 animosity (95-100m)

That's how I think it will fall in to place more or less

herbs12

Member
694

Feb 12th 2012, 16:57:58

I also am a little biased becuse I know who plays each county.

I'm not sure who is playing #113, #106, #88 so I just put your were you are.

I have possibly 14 making 100m but that all depends if in fact we are 2 days shorter this set then last. If so those numbers are all 5-12m to high.

jedioda

Member
395

Feb 12th 2012, 17:52:23

You really know who plays each country ? I know only 8 from your list

herbs12

Member
694

Feb 12th 2012, 18:07:27

I wrote that wrong I guess I don't know who is playing the 3 numbers I put up there. No idea who they are 113, 106, 88

Xinhuan

Member
3728

Feb 12th 2012, 18:21:12

I only know 8 from the list too heh.

Rob

Member
1105

Feb 12th 2012, 18:28:35

Damn commies :)

Rob

Member
1105

Feb 12th 2012, 18:33:15

I'm gonna make a slightly bold prediction and say there will be a techer in the top 10. Tech prices have been decent and still around 2k. Also I know of one techer that has been stocking for quite some time

blid

Member

EE Patron
9319

Feb 12th 2012, 20:14:26

I saw #106's country at one point in the set and I was pretty impressed. Nice detailed predictions though herbs, I guess you agree with me on the record number of 100m countries.

I predict Veni @ 150m+.

Edited By: blid on Feb 13th 2012, 0:53:38
See Original Post

Originally posted by Mr. Titanium:

Watch your mouth boy, I have never been accused of cheating on any server nor deleted before you just did right there.

blid

Member

EE Patron
9319

Feb 13th 2012, 2:21:20

IMO primary has the clearest heierarchy ever in terms of gov/strategy
CI > R cash > D tech > food

Originally posted by Mr. Titanium:

Watch your mouth boy, I have never been accused of cheating on any server nor deleted before you just did right there.

jedioda

Member
395

Feb 15th 2012, 18:25:54

Too bad. First reset I don't play farmer since long and food at 65 !
Anyway high food prices means less stocking means less NW (excepts for those who sell stocks in first, during high food prices)

Rob

Member
1105

Feb 15th 2012, 18:29:54

Thats part of the reason, jedioda. You not playing a farmer has deprived us of some much needed food. I refuse to buy bushels at these prices right until I have 80(80) and have no choice.

Looks like I have to revise down my calculations

tduong

Member
2224

Feb 15th 2012, 18:30:52

Originally posted by jedioda:

Too bad. First reset I don't play farmer since long and food at 65 !
Anyway high food prices means less stocking means less NW (excepts for those who sell stocks in first, during high food prices)

if i was a farmer, i'd take advantage of this and get extremely fat and stockpile when it starts to fall. There's no point in stockpiling since you'll probably stock food and it won't change the price when you need to liquidate your stock lmao. You might as well grab like crazy and get fat so you start your stockpile at a higher nw and land.

Originally posted by blid:

I haven't had a wrong opinion in years

tduong

Member
2224

Feb 15th 2012, 18:34:25

Originally posted by Rob:

true that.

A noob-ish player in rank 50-100 would probably only make enough farm to feed 2 or 3 countries of my size. And the other hopeless players can only feed 1 top 20 countries or less.
Having a few good playerss in the top pumping out 500+k bushels a turn is what will stabilize the market to an appropriate price range.

Originally posted by blid:

I haven't had a wrong opinion in years

Xinhuan

Member
3728

Feb 18th 2012, 15:07:42

EEvil and Waste of Time are both out of the top 10 now. They just suicided on each other heh.

tduong

Member
2224

Feb 18th 2012, 17:02:56

lol primary is getting interesting

Originally posted by blid:

I haven't had a wrong opinion in years

grimjoww

Member
961

Feb 19th 2012, 11:49:34

88 is seksi

Rob

Member
1105

Feb 20th 2012, 17:57:57

I've royally fluffed up my set, i think. Overflow of turns!
And I have no idea how to deal with these obscene bushel prices.

tduong

Member
2224

Feb 20th 2012, 18:12:14

average went down by $8 so it's becoming better. Your country makes more cash than me and probably eats less so you are better off than me. I'm cashing only 26 and eating like 83k bushels lmao.

Originally posted by blid:

I haven't had a wrong opinion in years

blid

Member

EE Patron
9319

Feb 20th 2012, 18:15:04

Originally posted by Rob:

I've royally fluffed up my set, i think. Overflow of turns!
And I have no idea how to deal with these obscene bushel prices.

Just pay them :P much like the oil prices earlier in the round, haha

Originally posted by Mr. Titanium:

Watch your mouth boy, I have never been accused of cheating on any server nor deleted before you just did right there.

Nuketon

Member
549

Feb 20th 2012, 23:31:59

I'm willing to bet 100m net won't get you top 15 this set. There's gonna be some big finishes I think.

tduong

Member
2224

Feb 21st 2012, 0:31:26

oh i'm betting 100m net will get you top 10 lol. Any smart farmer should be able to get some decent finish. Techers too :)
Techers plz dump your tech so i can get some cheap tech.

Originally posted by blid:

I haven't had a wrong opinion in years

Xinhuan

Member
3728

Feb 21st 2012, 1:29:52

I think only 5 countries will finish higher than 100m. This is partly due to (A) High tech prices (B) High food prices. Both hamper the commie finish. A couple of techers will probably just make it there.

blid

Member

EE Patron
9319

Feb 21st 2012, 1:53:14

Gotta say, Wasteville is looking good. backhanded slaps has been pretty strong most of the set. And someone like namnamnamnam who got super fat is probably profiting by tech prices staying so high so long.

Originally posted by Mr. Titanium:

Watch your mouth boy, I have never been accused of cheating on any server nor deleted before you just did right there.

Serpentor

Member
2800

Feb 21st 2012, 2:35:42

Was on pace for 110 I think, but no longer. Lol

It was fun having a little excitement though.

The EEVIL Empire

tduong

Member
2224

Feb 21st 2012, 4:54:08

lol yeah. i hate to say i'm glad you are out of t10 but you just made it easier for me lol. I still don't think i can make it though. I'll just get really fat.

Originally posted by blid:

I haven't had a wrong opinion in years